College football picks against the spread week 9

    somehow, it’s already week 9.

    Before we dive headfirst into our latest cfb picks against the spread, I must first remind you that every week of the college football season is sacred. we should each celebrate as much as we can, because the season moves too fast.

    Reading: College football picks against the spread week 9

    The good news is that we have some time. The even better news is that Week 9 is filled with fascinating matchups, rivalries, and playoff intrigue.

    last week, the selections returned to normal (at least a little). I’m still leaning towards unlv’s inability to cover against the state of san jose, though it’s imperative to move on.

    Before you do, here’s what went right and what went wrong. (well, apart from unlv crashing at like 2am, which kept me up for most of the night).

    The Good: Miami (+3) vs. North Carolina: It wasn’t always pretty to look at, and maybe that’s an understatement. Miami, however, covered the three-point difference and won outright against NC State. I loved the win, but my god, it was stressful.

    the bad: louisiana tech (+6.5) vs. utsa: “bad” isn’t good enough. this was something else. I thought louisiana tech would be competitive, and the bulldogs proceeded to lose by about 1100 points. roadrunners are legit.

    here are the picks for week 9.

    north carolina state (-7) vs. louisville

    I bet against nc state last week and that decision worked. Despite Miami’s valiant attempt to ruin that game, the Hurricanes continued.

    louisville took care of business against boston college, setting up a riveting matchup accompanied by a riveting points spread. while many will be inclined to back the cardinals given the recent results, I’m going the other way.

    despite the loss, i’m a fan of nc state. The Wolf Pack is also 3-1 against the spread at home this season, and will be playing in front of a home crowd for the first time in nearly a month.

    offensively, i love what i’ve seen from sophomore quarterback devin leary. he hasn’t thrown an interception since 9/11 and production seems to pick up as the season goes on.

    this will be a bounce. state of north carolina by double digits.

    utah (-6.5) vs. ucla

    can’t imagine this week has been pleasant for dorian thompson-robinson, who was hit hard in ucla’s loss to oregon last week. Robinson’s status for this week seems to change as he deals with lingering issues from the previous week.

    Whether he plays or not, though, doesn’t really affect which side I’m taking.

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    playing in utah after such a game is less than ideal, even if the utes lost to oregon state on saturday. Playing at home should provide a very different boost, something we saw against Arizona State in mid-October. Utah won that game handily by two touchdowns.

    as for ucla, it looks like they’re unraveling a very strong start to the season.

    While the Bruins did some good things against Oregon before losing the lead, and have played well on the road this year, the impact of last weekend’s loss is likely to linger.

    Mississippi State (+1) vs. Kentucky

    If you’re an opposing bettor, which I certainly am, you must be intrigued by this point spread. The nation’s number 12 ranked team, Kentucky, is a small favorite over a three-loss team.

    Granted, Mississippi State doesn’t feel like your typical three-loss team. The October 2 victory over Texas A&M has aged incredibly well. And a two-touchdown win over NC State earlier in the year isn’t a bad résumé boost, either.

    the bulldogs will face a team that has only lost once to date. Furthermore, Kentucky has covered the spread in the last four. (Yeah, I know Kentucky barely covered the gap with Georgia a few weeks ago, but the Wildcats still did; Mark Stoops made sure of that.)

    this will only be kentucky’s third real road game of the season, which is pretty wild considering where we are on the schedule. The first game, an ugly 16-10 win over South Carolina, might be more in line with what we have here.

    there will be more points, although the state of mississippi finds a way. mike leach gives a little dislike for one of the favorites of the 2021 season.

    wisconsin (-3) vs. iowa

    As someone who has spent a lot of time at Kinnick Stadium, the addition of this selection is a bit of a pain. but as I have said throughout the existence of this article, choosing winners is not personal. it’s just business.

    Iowa’s business this season has been pretty good. Although the last time we saw Hawk Eyes, business was very, very bad.

    The 24-7 loss to Purdue highlighted some of the problems Kirk Ferentz’s team has faced. the offensive fights, that is, at quarterback and offensive line, eventually became too difficult to overcome. and the injuries to the secondary, which has been superb for much of the year, came at the worst possible time.

    Wisconsin, which we largely wrote off after three losses in the first four games, has bounced back of late. And while the passing offense is still limited, the defense and running game have gained new life.

    The total is only 36.5 points, and there’s a real chance it could fall short of that. it also seems that iowa’s problems, even after a bye, will probably be present again in a difficult environment.

    michigan (-4) in the state of michigan

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    I just think michigan is a better football team. honestly, it’s that simple.

    stylistically, the two are quite similar. both teams like to deal damage on the ground, and both have quality runners to test almost any defense.

    Michigan State’s Kenneth Walker III (997 rushing yards) and Michigan’s Blake Corum (729 rushing yards) are No. 1 and no. 2 to run in the big ten.

    If you’ve seen these two teams play, this shouldn’t surprise you.

    michigan has the number of the nation. 2 defense points; the state of michigan owns the number of the nation. 19 point defense. michigan has the number of the nation. scoring offense rated at 15; the state of michigan registers at no. 29.

    The difference, however, is that the wolverines have done it against better competition. while that’s not always a favorable barometer for deciding games, especially rivalry games, it does feel significant given what we’ve seen.

    playing at home should help you have fun. I just don’t think it helps enough.

    michigan 27, state of michigan 17.

    other games on the card

    pittsburgh (-9) vs. miami: i really like the way pittsburgh is playing, and i could see the win over clemson propelling this team forward. the hurricanes just make too many mistakes to compete here.

    nebraska (-7.5) vs. purdue: strange propagation. and I love those. One week after defeating Iowa, Purdue was defeated by Wisconsin. While Nebraska needs to figure out how to win games, there’s plenty of talent. big win for the cornhuskers.

    auburn (-2.5) vs. ole miss: bo nix is ​​turning into a pretty good quarterback, as long as he limits mistakes. i really like this place for auburn, and playing at home is huge.

    cal (+1.5) vs. oregon: oh, this line is gorgeous. though if you look a little deeper, and I think you’ll find that cal has quietly improved a bit since the start of the season.

    boston college at syracuse (over 50.5): is my only total on the card this week, although I quite like it. both offenses have a chance to do some damage on this one.

    Odds through draftkings and accurate as of Wednesday.

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    See also: ESPNs Industry-Leading College Football Coverage to Feature a Mix of Veteran Commentators and Newcomers for 2022-23 Season – ESPN Press Room U.S

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