thank goodness the navy defends the seas because it sure can’t defend on land, more specifically, its soccer team.
While you’re booing my joke in your head as you read that, just look at how navy has fared so far this season. As long as you’re still booing me in your head, you can at least agree with me.
Reading: Navy vs tulsa football predictions
credit where credit is due, the midshipmen had the world on the edge of their seats when they came into possession of beating no. 2 Cincinnati last week.
tulsa, meanwhile, has found a bit more success. at 3-4, he has a chance to get back to .500 as a major favorite over the midshipmen this Friday. Three of the Golden Hurricane’s losses are respectable, as they lost games to Oklahoma State, Ohio State, and Houston.
In a game that will showcase two completely different attacking styles, Navy and Tulsa will be a fun, low-key matchup for a national audience.
If it ain’t broke, don’t bother to fix it. that’s the story of the naval offensive that boasts one of the highest engagement rates in the nation. at a rate of 86.2%, midshipmen force opponents to stack the box while swallowing it.
midshipmen handle the ball moderately well, ranking near the center of the nation at 55th. They would rather run the ball and the clock the length of the field than dare to try to pass. navy is last, or close to last, in all advanced approval metrics.
four different midshipmen average more than four yards per carry with more than 50 rushing attempts. they have multiple weapons in the backfield that will look to wear down any opposing defense.
They’ll look to exploit a tired defense once they get past 40 and score points on the board.
so I imagine it requires a lot of discipline, the defense sure isn’t disciplined. Armada’s secondary consistently burns the game in and out of the game, as the unit ranks near the bottom nationally in every defensive passing metric.
midshipmen do a decent job of stopping the push, owning a defense. line yardage ranking of 21st. they’ll have to keep it up and create more havoc to give the secondary a much-needed break.
Points are well earned against defense, in general, as they do a great job of limiting the big play. this is largely due to his excellent tackling ability. navy has a pff tackle rating of 56.
Like I said in the intro, this matchup features two completely different attack styles. no one in the navy has thrown more than 300 yards. Tulsa quarterback Davis Brin has thrown for 1,915 yards, 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
While Tulsa’s passing game isn’t the most efficient, the Navy will still have their hands full as it is one of the worst passing defenses in the nation.
With low ratings of 98 in pass success and 81 in pass blocking, Tulsa will lean into the big play as they rank 21st, an area where the Navy is respectable on defense.
If Tulsa wants to cover a double-digit spread, they’ll have to watch the ball. this is something he is average at, ranking 63rd in havoc allowed. If he can limit the run the Navy brings, Tulsa will have plenty of opportunities to move the ball down the field with ease.
This may be easier said than done, but the plan for any defense against the Armada is to stop the race. the navy runs and runs often. attack with efficiency and power. Tulsa will have to be prepared to be physical throughout the game.
the success of the naval career and the defense of tulsa. quick success is dead even in the ranking. both sitting 55th on either side of the ball, the game may very well decide which side breaks first. the lead goes to tulsa as they are ranked much better in def. yards of line.
If Tulsa wants to cover the spread, they’ll need as many chances as they can on the offensive end. They will have to take advantage of their havoc to limit as many naval units as possible. Navy will bleed the clock with their running game, something Tulsa can’t afford with limited possessions.
navy vs tulsa showdown analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Navy and Tulsa statistically match:
data via college football data, footballoutsiders, sp+, pff, and sportsource analytics.
In a battle of two completely different attacking styles, I’m going to settle the points with the most diverse.
It won’t be easy. Tulsa will need to max out all of their possessions to avoid running out of time against the Navy’s stalemate running game.
I think the golden hurricane will succeed. Navy High has been on fire all season, something that will happen again against Tulsa. Brin will have plenty of time in his pocket to make the correct read and move the ball down the field.
On the defensive end, Tulsa will need to rely on chaos to turn the field around or force three and out. It’s not going to be easy, since the navy is efficient on land, but it’s doable nonetheless.
I took tulsa for a small bet in the first game at -9.5. I wouldn’t play this other than with the football number of -10. watch to catch this live and hopefully the tulsa defense can get the navy offense off the field.