A deeper dive into Washingtons first round trade in the 2022 draft – Hogs Haven

    I made my feelings known at the time. I loved Washington’s trade of the 11th pick in the 2022 draft with the Saints. it was exactly what he had been crying out for. With the Carson Goz trade, Washington lost a third-round pick before the draft, and there’s reason to believe that put additional pressure on the front office to convert its high first-round pick into additional draft capital early on, to the end. to take full advantage of the draft.

    Of course, at the time we knew the terms of the trade: Washington would give up No. 11 and, in turn, receive Nos. 16, 98, and 120 from the New Orleans Saints. The Saints would go on to pick Ohio State with Chris Olave at No. 11, and Washington would pick Penn State with Jahan Dotson at No. 16. Later, they would take Alabama RB Brian Robinson at No. 98, and would switch picks no. 120 and no. ° 189 for nos. 144 and no. 149 with the Panthers. Those two Washington picks would become QB Sam Howell and Te Cole Turner.

    Reading: Washington football team trade up

    What we had heard rumors about, but didn’t know for sure at the time, was that there were other parties interested in trading back to Washington, including No. 16, which the team turned down.

    Yesterday, the team released the video below which actually gives us a pretty amazing glimpse of the war room at the time of the trade. I’ll explore some of the “alternate universe” options you present us with below.

    It appears the first GM Martin Mayhew actually talked to about the trade was Packers GM Brian Gutekunst. mayhew says, “they’ll do #53 and that’s it”. Green Bay’s first pick was #22. Assuming that selection was also on the table, the trade value exchange according to the widely used rich hill trading chart would have been as follows:

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    (washington, choose 11) = 358

    (gb, choose 22) = 253

    (gb, choose 53) = 106

    358 – (253+106) = 1 point to washington

    In terms of commercial value, it would have been difficult to obtain a “fairer” trade for both parties. washington, of course, eventually decided to pass, instead taking trade with the saints above, which works like this:

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    (washington, choose 11) = 358

    (no, choose 16) = 305

    (no, choose 98) = 38

    (no, choose 120) = 26

    358 – (305 + 38 + 26) = 11 pts for washington (the equivalent of a high pick in the fifth round)

    the new orleans deal was clearly the better of the two, and washington was wise to be patient.

    in the video, it appears washington had the deal done with the saints at least a few elections before yours. when houston (at the 15th) picks kenyon green (g), rivera tells mayhew, “let’s do dotson” almost instantly. hurney emphatically agrees.

    then a funny thing happens, mayhew answers the phone and both pittsburgh and the jets are calling, presumably to switch to number 16. mayhew seems to basically ignore those calls, and the video shows rivera making a call to jahan dotson to give him the news that it will be the commander’s first pick.

    but what could it have been? what those trades with the steelers or jets might have been like. let’s take a look at each. First, we’ll examine what a pittsburgh exchange might have entailed:

    (washington, choose 16) = 305

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    (pittsburgh, choose 20) = 269

    (pittsburgh, choose 84) = 51

    305 – (269 – 51) = 15 pts for washington (the value of a high pick in the fifth round)

    This probably would have been the best scenario for washington in terms of a trade with the steelers. It’s entirely possible the Steelers wanted something like that #189 pick as a way to chip away at a bit of an advantage, but they might have accepted the earlier deal if they were desperate enough to move to #16. were they looking to get kenny pickett there? who knows?

    what about the jets? At this point in the draft, the Jets had already made two first-round picks, and their best remaining pick was No. 35.

    (washington, choose 16) = 305

    (planes, choose 35) = 170

    (jets, 2023 first-round pick) = 500 to 92 (150 average)

    this is highly speculative, as the planes lacked enough 2022 shot ammo to go to #16 at this point, but a combination of a high 2022 pick and a 2023 first round may have sufficed to generate interest.

    Would be fascinating to know if they’re moving up to get the player they ultimately drafted at #26, via a trade with the Titans, Jermaine Johnson (DE), who dropped heavily in the first round.

    It’s incredibly cool to get these kinds of glimpses into the draft war rooms, and I applaud the Commanders’ media team for putting this piece together and giving us a look behind the curtains.

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