odds between the state of kent and wyoming
kent state and wyoming make the trip to chilly boise, idaho, for the famous idaho potato dish on Tuesday afternoon.
The golden sparkles regular season ended in mac championship heartbreak, losing to northern illinois as 4.5 point favorites. however, they have a dynamic offense that is capable of putting 50 points on the board against an average defense. We’ll see if that offense shows up on the blue turf on Tuesday afternoon.
wyoming finished the season in terrible fashion, getting blown out at home by hawaii, 38-14. The Cowboys started the season red hot, winning their first four games, including a 45-12 win over another ball-state Mac opponent.
however, they lost six of their remaining eight games, including some terrible losses to new mexico and san jose state. We’ll see if his fast attack can move the ball against a poor Kent State Run defense.
gold sparkles attack
kent state may have lost the mac championship and had a botched offensive performance, but their offense was still incredibly efficient this season. the golden sparkles averaged 6.0 yards per play and ranked fifth in the country in hit rate.
the main reason kent state was so efficient was because of their running game behind marquez cooper, who rushed for more than 1,000 yards this season and averaged 5.0 yards per rush.
which allowed kent state to rank third in rushing hit rate and fifth in offensive line yards. will have a good matchup against Wyoming because the Cowboys’ run defense is their biggest weakness on that side of the ball.
dustin crum had a good season shooting the ball, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt and earning a passing grade of 81.3 pff. he also recorded a whopping 26 big pitches and only eight plays worth losing.
However, Wyoming has the 10th best coverage in the country, so Kent State better stay in the running game.
gold flash defense
the reason kent state didn’t win the mac and ultimately finished the season 7-5 was because of their defense. Kent State allowed 6.1 yards per play, which ranked 105th in college football. the unit also ranked 115th in the allowed success rate.
kent state’s run defense was embarrassing this season, ranking outside the top 100 in rushing hit rate allowed, rushing explosiveness allowed and offensive line yards. therefore facing a heavy attack like wyoming is a nightmare for golden sparkles.
Kent State’s high school was terrible this season, ranking 118th in passing rate allowed, 114th in EPA/passing allowed, and 81st in terms of coverage rating, by pff.
Wyoming’s offense this season was fairly average and not explosive at all, ranking 66th in hit rate but 114th in big plays.
Punches have a very intense offense, carrying the stone 61.6% of the time this season. He was very successful doing so, averaging 4.9 yards per carry and ranking 35th in EPA/rush.
xazavian valladay had a fantastic season running the ball, making 190 carries and averaging 5.2 yards per carry. he is a powerhouse rusher with 690 yards after contact this season, who was in the top 30 in college football, according to pff.
Wyoming quarterback Sean Chambers was ineffective at throwing the ball when he was on the field this season, averaging 6.4 yards per attempt on just 177 pass attempts.
Levi Williams took over as the starting quarterback in October, and both he and Chambers saw time in the regular season finale against the Rainbow Warriors.
given how bad the kent state secondary is, any callers can be asked to pitch a little more often on tuesday.
The Cowboys defense had its ups and downs this season. They had high points, like keeping Utah at 17 points, and low points, like losing 43 points to northern Illinois.
wyoming finished the season ranked 48th in hit rate allowed and 41st in ep/game allowed.
wyoming’s run defense has been terrible this season, allowing 4.5 yards per carry. The Cowboys also ranked outside the top 70 in EPA/RR allowed, defensive line yards and stuff rate. That’s really bad news against a Kent State run offense that finished in the top 10 in many running metrics.
Special teams were also a problem for the Cowboys this season, as they ranked 125th, by sp+, and had the worst average starting position in defense nationally.
wyoming also did a horrible job of taking down opponents, ranking 115th in mayhem this season.
analysis of confrontation between the state of kent and wyoming
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kent vs. state betting forecast. Wyoming
it’s actually going to be a pretty nice day in late december in boise at 35 degrees with very light winds. Since both teams are used to the cold, the weather shouldn’t be a factor in this game.
Given the weather not being a factor and the great matchup for both running offenses, combined with kent state playing at one of the fastest paces in the country (third in plays per minute), I expect a higher scoring game.
I have a projected 65.2 points for the famous idaho potato bowl, so based on that, there’s a little bit of value in over 59 points or more.